Saturday, March 5, 2011
The SEC Tourney gets some what clearer now...
Georgia goes down to Bama today making the scenarios a little less murky, but still lots of possibilities.
To understand this you must first understand the tie breaker rules. Study up here if you want to understand this: http://www.secdigitalnetwork.com/LinkClick.aspx?fileticket=9pgU1XYAe7o=&tabid=712&mid=4578
Or just keep reading if you just want to know the bottom line...
We still have two games that will change the seedings. Vandy vs. Florida tonight at 6 eastern and UK vs. UT tomorrow at 12 eastern.
Current standings:
Florida 12-3
UK 9-6
Vandy 9-6
Georgia 9-7
Tennessee 8-7
South Carolina 5-11
Florida no matter what gets the #1 seed and South Carolina will get the #6 seed so we can take them out of this equation.
There are four possible scenarios (explanations below):
1) Vandy wins, UK wins-UK #2, Vandy #3, Georgia #4, UT #5
2) Vandy loses, UK loses-UT #2, UK #3, Vandy #4, Georgia #5
3) Vandy wins, UK loses-Vandy #2, UK #3, UT #4, Georgia #5
4) Vandy loses, UK wins-UK, #2, Vandy #3, Georgia #4, UT #5
So as you can see, if UK wins they get the #2 no matter what Vandy does today. Also if we lose tomorrow we will be #3 no matter what Vandy does today. So you could argue Vandy's matchup does not matter for us. Of course you could argue it could make a difference on UT's motivation tomorrow. If Vandy loses, UT has a shot at the bye, if they win they don't. It will still change their seeding from a 5 to a 4 if Vandy wins and UT wins but that bye is a little more to fight over.
So we will look at what could happen in each of these four scenarios
1) Vandy wins, UK wins
Final standings in questions would be:
UK 10-6
Vandy 10-6
Georgia 9-7
Tennessee 8-8
The first tie breaker with two teams would be head to head which is a tie. The next is record in the East division. UK would have a 7-3, Vandy 5-5.
UK #2, Vandy #3, Georgia #4, UT #5
2) Vandy loses, UK loses
UK 9-7
Vandy 9-7
Georgia 9-7
Tennessee 9-7
Now we have a four way tie. When you have a four way tie you first must look at the records against these four teams. UK 3-3, Vandy 3-3, UT 4-2, Georgia 2-4.
UT #2
We have Vandy and UK tied for the 3rd seed. Head to head is a tie. Next goes to record in the East. In this situation UK would be 6-4, Vandy 4-6.
UT #2, UK #3, Vandy #4, Georgia #5
3) Vandy wins, UK loses
Vandy 10-6
12UK 9-7
Georgia 9-7
Tennessee 9-7
Vandy #2 seed
UK, Georgia, and UT tied for 3rd. Must go to best record between the three. UK 2-2, Georgia 2-2, UT 2-2. All tied.
Next is division record. UK 6-4, Georgia 4-6, UT 5-5
So now we are tied with UK and UT. Head to head is a tie. Next would be record against Florida. UK 1-1, UT 0-2.
UK #3 seed
Georgia and UT are now tied for 4th seed. They split head to head. Next is record in the East which UT gets.
Vandy #2 seed, UK #3 seed, UT #4 seed, Georgia #5 seed
4) Vandy loses, UK wins
UK 10-6
Vandy 9-7
Georgia 9-7
Tennessee 8-8
UK #2 seed
Vandy and Georgia would be tied for #3 seed. Head to head Vandy won both times giving them the nod.
UK, #2, Vandy #3, Georgia #4, UT #5
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